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NBA PROP INTELLIGENCE

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TODAY'S CARD

The High Five

Live · SharpAPI
#1 HIGH FIVE
Assists

Cade Cunningham

A+
UNDER 9.5 AssistsProjection 5.09Model 78%
draftkings -130Market fair 52.9%Value +25.1 ptsModel EV +38.0%
L5 100%L10 100%L20 100%
RECENT HISTORYUNDER hit in 3 of last 3
Hit rate100%L5 avg5.7 Current line9.5
371013LINE 9.51vsPHX10-05UNDER9@MIN10-15UNDER7vsTOR10-16UNDER
Pick hit Pick missed Push Current line 3-game avg
Game-by-game results
DateOpponentResultLinePick
Oct 16HOME vs TOR7 · UNDER9.5✓ Hit
Oct 15AWAY @ MIN9 · UNDER9.5✓ Hit
Oct 5HOME vs PHX1 · UNDER9.5✓ Hit

Cade Cunningham projects for 5.1 Assists against a market line of 9.5, pointing to the UNDER. The UNDER has hit in 100% of the last 3 tracked games. Cade Cunningham has gone over this line in 0 of the last 3 games and under in 3. The season per-game average for this market is 5.67 versus the current line of 9.5. High Five estimates a 78% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

Supporting
  • ↑ 100% hit rate over the last 3 tracked games
  • ↑ Projection is 4.4 below the line
  • ↑ Model edge +25.1 pts vs no-vig market
Risks
  • ↓ Only 3 tracked games are available for this market
Why High Five likes it
  • Home split: Location split adjusts projection by -10.0%.
  • Lineup risk: Lineup is unconfirmed, so confidence is reduced.
#2 HIGH FIVE
Assists

Payton Pritchard

A+
OVER 4.5 AssistsProjection 8.87Model 78%
draftkings -101Market fair 47.1%Value +30.9 ptsModel EV +55.2%
L5 100%L10 100%L20 100%
RECENT HISTORYOVER hit in 2 of last 2
Hit rate100%L5 avg9.0 Current line4.5
371013LINE 4.57vsPHI10-11OVER11vsCHA10-14OVER
Pick hit Pick missed Push Current line 3-game avg
Game-by-game results
DateOpponentResultLinePick
Oct 14HOME vs CHA11 · OVER4.5✓ Hit
Oct 11HOME vs PHI7 · OVER4.5✓ Hit

Payton Pritchard projects for 8.9 Assists against a market line of 4.5, pointing to the OVER. The OVER has hit in 100% of the last 2 tracked games. Payton Pritchard has gone over this line in 2 of the last 2 games and under in 0. The season per-game average for this market is 9.00 versus the current line of 4.5. High Five estimates a 78% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

Supporting
  • ↑ 100% hit rate over the last 2 tracked games
  • ↑ Projection is 4.4 above the line
  • ↑ Model edge +30.9 pts vs no-vig market
Risks
  • ↓ Only 2 tracked games are available for this market
Why High Five likes it
  • Home split: Location split adjusts projection by 0.0%.
  • Lineup risk: Lineup is unconfirmed, so confidence is reduced.
#3 HIGH FIVE
Points

Paul George

A+
UNDER 16.5 PointsProjection 8.73Model 78%
draftkings -126Market fair 52.6%Value +25.4 ptsModel EV +39.9%
L5 100%L10 100%L20 100%
RECENT HISTORYUNDER hit in 2 of last 2
Hit rate100%L5 avg9.0 Current line16.5
6121723LINE 16.513vsPHI10-11UNDER5vsCHA10-14UNDER
Pick hit Pick missed Push Current line 3-game avg
Game-by-game results
DateOpponentResultLinePick
Oct 14HOME vs CHA5 · UNDER16.5✓ Hit
Oct 11HOME vs PHI13 · UNDER16.5✓ Hit

Paul George projects for 8.7 Points against a market line of 16.5, pointing to the UNDER. The UNDER has hit in 100% of the last 2 tracked games. Paul George has gone over this line in 0 of the last 2 games and under in 2. The season per-game average for this market is 9.00 versus the current line of 16.5. High Five estimates a 78% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

Supporting
  • ↑ 100% hit rate over the last 2 tracked games
  • ↑ Projection is 7.8 below the line
  • ↑ Model edge +25.4 pts vs no-vig market
Risks
  • ↓ Only 2 tracked games are available for this market
Why High Five likes it
  • Home split: Location split adjusts projection by 0.0%.
  • Lineup risk: Lineup is unconfirmed, so confidence is reduced.
#4 HIGH FIVE
Points

Jayson Tatum

A+
UNDER 26.5 PointsProjection 20.53Model 78%
draftkings -106Market fair 48.4%Value +29.6 ptsModel EV +51.6%
L5 100%L10 100%L20 100%
RECENT HISTORYUNDER hit in 2 of last 2
Hit rate100%L5 avg21.0 Current line26.5
9182737LINE 26.523vsPHI10-11UNDER19vsCHA10-14UNDER
Pick hit Pick missed Push Current line 3-game avg
Game-by-game results
DateOpponentResultLinePick
Oct 14HOME vs CHA19 · UNDER26.5✓ Hit
Oct 11HOME vs PHI23 · UNDER26.5✓ Hit

Jayson Tatum projects for 20.5 Points against a market line of 26.5, pointing to the UNDER. The UNDER has hit in 100% of the last 2 tracked games. Jayson Tatum has gone over this line in 0 of the last 2 games and under in 2. The season per-game average for this market is 21.00 versus the current line of 26.5. High Five estimates a 78% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

Supporting
  • ↑ 100% hit rate over the last 2 tracked games
  • ↑ Projection is 6.0 below the line
  • ↑ Model edge +29.6 pts vs no-vig market
Risks
  • ↓ Only 2 tracked games are available for this market
Why High Five likes it
  • Home split: Location split adjusts projection by 0.0%.
  • Lineup risk: Lineup is unconfirmed, so confidence is reduced.
#5 HIGH FIVE
Points

Daniss Jenkins

A+
UNDER 9.5 PointsProjection 5.66Model 77%
draftkings -131Market fair 53.5%Value +23.2 ptsModel EV +35.3%
L5 75%L10 75%L20 75%
RECENT HISTORYUNDER hit in 3 of last 4
Hit rate75%L5 avg6.5 Current line9.5
471114LINE 9.55vsPHX10-05UNDER12@WSH10-10OVER6@MIN10-15UNDER3vsTOR10-16UNDER
Pick hit Pick missed Push Current line 3-game avg
Game-by-game results
DateOpponentResultLinePick
Oct 16HOME vs TOR3 · UNDER9.5✓ Hit
Oct 15AWAY @ MIN6 · UNDER9.5✓ Hit
Oct 10AWAY @ WSH12 · OVER9.5✕ Miss
Oct 5HOME vs PHX5 · UNDER9.5✓ Hit

Daniss Jenkins projects for 5.7 Points against a market line of 9.5, pointing to the UNDER. The UNDER has hit in 75% of the last 4 tracked games. Daniss Jenkins has gone over this line in 1 of the last 4 games and under in 3. The season per-game average for this market is 6.50 versus the current line of 9.5. High Five estimates a 77% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

Supporting
  • ↑ 75% hit rate over the last 4 tracked games
  • ↑ Projection is 3.8 below the line
  • ↑ Model edge +23.2 pts vs no-vig market
Risks
  • ↓ Only 4 tracked games are available for this market
Why High Five likes it
  • Home split: Location split adjusts projection by -10.0%.
  • Lineup risk: Lineup is unconfirmed, so confidence is reduced.
MORE PICKS

NBA prop board

NBA PROP
Points

Cade Cunningham

A+
UNDER 24.5 PointsProjection 13.85Model 78%
draftkings -104Market fair 48.1%Value +29.9 ptsModel EV +53.0%
L5 100%L10 100%L20 100%

Cade Cunningham projects for 13.9 Points against a market line of 24.5, pointing to the UNDER. The UNDER has hit in 100% of the last 3 tracked games. Cade Cunningham has gone over this line in 0 of the last 3 games and under in 3. The season per-game average for this market is 14.00 versus the current line of 24.5. High Five estimates a 78% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

NBA PROP
Assists

Derrick White

A+
UNDER 4.5 AssistsProjection 1.96Model 78%
draftkings -149Market fair 56.0%Value +22.0 ptsModel EV +30.3%
L5 100%L10 100%L20 100%

Derrick White projects for 2.0 Assists against a market line of 4.5, pointing to the UNDER. The UNDER has hit in 100% of the last 2 tracked games. Derrick White has gone over this line in 0 of the last 2 games and under in 2. The season per-game average for this market is 2.00 versus the current line of 4.5. High Five estimates a 78% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

NBA PROP
Assists

Daniss Jenkins

A+
OVER 3.5 AssistsProjection 4.43Model 78%
draftkings -140Market fair 54.6%Value +23.4 ptsModel EV +33.7%
L5 100%L10 100%L20 100%

Daniss Jenkins projects for 4.4 Assists against a market line of 3.5, pointing to the OVER. The OVER has hit in 100% of the last 4 tracked games. Daniss Jenkins has gone over this line in 4 of the last 4 games and under in 0. The season per-game average for this market is 4.25 versus the current line of 3.5. High Five estimates a 78% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

NBA PROP
Assists

Jalen Duren

A+
UNDER 1.5 AssistsProjection 0.98Model 76%
draftkings +142Market fair 38.7%Value +37.2 ptsModel EV +83.8%
L5 100%L10 100%L20 100%

Jalen Duren projects for 1.0 Assists against a market line of 1.5, pointing to the UNDER. The UNDER has hit in 100% of the last 2 tracked games. Jalen Duren has gone over this line in 0 of the last 2 games and under in 2. The season per-game average for this market is 1.00 versus the current line of 1.5. High Five estimates a 76% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

NBA PROP
Points

Ausar Thompson

A
UNDER 10.5 PointsProjection 7.6Model 69%
draftkings -127Market fair 52.8%Value +16.2 ptsModel EV +23.3%
L5 75%L10 75%L20 75%

Ausar Thompson projects for 7.6 Points against a market line of 10.5, pointing to the UNDER. The UNDER has hit in 75% of the last 4 tracked games. Ausar Thompson has gone over this line in 1 of the last 4 games and under in 3. The season per-game average for this market is 7.00 versus the current line of 10.5. High Five estimates a 69% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

NBA PROP
Assists

Paul George

A+
OVER 3.5 AssistsProjection 3.92Model 72%
draftkings +117Market fair 43.1%Value +29.3 ptsModel EV +57.2%
L5 100%L10 100%L20 100%

Paul George projects for 3.9 Assists against a market line of 3.5, pointing to the OVER. The OVER has hit in 100% of the last 2 tracked games. Paul George has gone over this line in 2 of the last 2 games and under in 0. The season per-game average for this market is 4.00 versus the current line of 3.5. High Five estimates a 72% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

NBA PROP
Assists

Paul Reed

A-
OVER 1.5 AssistsProjection 1.94Model 65%
draftkings +120Market fair 42.5%Value +22.9 ptsModel EV +44.1%
L5 75%L10 75%L20 75%

Paul Reed projects for 1.9 Assists against a market line of 1.5, pointing to the OVER. The OVER has hit in 75% of the last 4 tracked games. Paul Reed has gone over this line in 3 of the last 4 games and under in 1. The season per-game average for this market is 2.25 versus the current line of 1.5. High Five estimates a 65% model probability before sportsbook-price adjustments.

Prop history comes from ESPN game logs. Configured odds feeds are checked in order until usable markets are available. Early boards may rely on last season's history; player availability and minutes still need to be checked.
NBA MONEYLINE MODEL

Model moneylines

Model nba-v0.1-moneyline · the-odds-api
The Odds API usage quota is exhausted; a replacement key with available credits or quota reset is required (401)
No NBA moneyline edges clear the model's minimum right now.
NBA TOTALS MODEL

Model totals

Model nba-v0.1-totals · the-odds-api
The Odds API returned 401
No NBA totals edges clear the model's minimum right now.